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Red46
568813.7
722219.9
421617.7
Blue30
720914.9
71979.1
655616.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4838102030604630

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7222
#14
19.90.0
14.214.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End4.0
red by 3.5
6556
#11
16.40.4
14.314.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End5.7
Second
4216
#21
17.70.0
18.318.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End4.2
red by 2.9
7209
#27
14.90.4
10.39.9
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End1.7
Third
5688
#34
13.70.0
13.213.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End1.6
red by 4.6
7197
#37
9.10.6
11.110.4
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed