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Red62
590716.4
436223.0
659121.4
Blue54
360425.7
72219.8
568813.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6250304070806254

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.0
21.721.8
Auto3.0
Teleop14.4
End5.6
blue by 2.7
25.70.4
25.726.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.9
End8.7
Second
6591
#13
21.40.1
20.921.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End5.1
red by 7.7
5688
#34
13.70.4
12.813.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End1.6
Third
5907
#20
16.40.1
15.715.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.8
End3.1
red by 6.6
7221
#33
9.80.4
8.89.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsEarned78%HAB Docking oddsEarned