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Red64
567630.4
609213.7
525711.7
Blue47
562320.2
78579.3
658023.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5554404550606570756447

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.8
28.929.7
Auto5.4
Teleop20.5
End4.5
red by 7.3
6580
#12
23.00.3
23.222.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End7.3
Second
6092
#25
13.70.8
10.911.6
Auto2.5
Teleop8.4
End2.9
blue by 6.5
20.20.3
19.419.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.3
End4.8
Third
5257
#26
11.71.1
12.713.8
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End3.6
red by 2.4
7857
#32
9.30.3
9.08.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsMissed59%HAB Docking oddsMissed