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Red61
261121.4
655616.4
750120.0
Blue76
567630.4
432524.6
148125.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions568440801006176

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#16
21.40.7
21.021.7
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End4.7
blue by 9.0
30.40.2
29.729.4
Auto5.4
Teleop20.5
End4.5
Second
7501
#24
20.00.5
17.618.2
Auto3.2
Teleop13.2
End3.6
blue by 5.3
25.40.2
24.624.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End7.6
Third
6556
#11
16.40.5
14.515.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End5.7
blue by 8.1
24.60.2
25.425.2
Auto3.6
Teleop14.0
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned93%HAB Docking oddsEarned