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Red43
552314.3
720914.9
766510.5
Blue44
781713.7
568510.3
562320.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394701020306070804344

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7209
#27
14.90.4
13.413.8
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End1.7
blue by 5.3
20.20.0
19.419.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.3
End4.8
Second
5523
#38
14.30.5
13.413.9
Auto2.9
Teleop8.0
End3.4
red by 0.6
7817
#23
13.70.0
14.514.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End3.6
Third
7665
#19
10.50.5
10.310.8
Auto4.6
Teleop2.9
End3.0
red by 0.2
5685
#18
10.30.0
10.310.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed