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Red68
504818.4
168426.2
528219.7
Blue57
516618.6
21723.3
608514.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665940507080906857

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.1
25.625.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.4
End8.5
red by 2.8
217
#5
23.30.0
23.423.4
Auto5.1
Teleop14.3
End3.9
Second
5282
#30
19.70.1
19.219.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.5
End5.6
red by 1.1
5166
#18
18.60.0
18.618.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End2.8
Third
5048
#10
18.40.1
17.817.9
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End2.5
red by 4.1
6085
#25
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End2.2