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Red74
49421.4
366729.7
609312.9
Blue56
31422.5
571226.4
607317.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6572506080907456

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.2
28.929.1
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End11.1
red by 3.3
26.40.3
26.926.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End10.4
Second
494
#11
21.40.2
20.620.8
Auto5.6
Teleop12.7
End3.2
blue by 1.1
314
#6
22.50.3
23.122.8
Auto5.8
Teleop14.0
End2.8
Third
6093
#29
12.90.2
12.112.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.4
End2.4
blue by 4.4
6073
#39
17.40.3
17.917.7
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End4.2