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Red38
516618.6
571226.4
551713.4
Blue46
523812.6
353420.9
603314.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45463035405055603846

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.6
14.914.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End10.4
red by 5.5
20.90.3
15.916.2
Auto4.4
Teleop12.7
End3.8
Second
5166
#18
18.60.6
13.613.0
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End2.8
red by 4.1
6033
#13
14.50.3
13.413.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End3.7
Third
5517
#28
13.40.6
14.814.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End3.3
red by 0.8
5238
#31
12.60.3
13.814.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed