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Red41
552413.8
687712.7
515518.3
Blue18
550916.0
663111.0
89414.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464220304050604118

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.30.6
16.515.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End5.9
red by 2.3
5509
#26
16.02.5
16.514.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.1
End3.4
Second
5524
#17
13.80.6
13.813.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End5.0
blue by 0.9
894
#32
14.72.5
12.09.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End3.6
Third
6877
#34
12.70.6
12.912.3
Auto5.0
Teleop2.5
End5.3
red by 1.7
6631
#23
11.02.5
11.69.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed