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Red49
214519.6
749122.6
57748.2
Blue32
499411.6
66107.6
556121.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423720305060704932

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.61.0
17.118.1
Auto4.9
Teleop15.2
End2.5
red by 1.3
21.30.4
18.818.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End8.5
Second
19.61.0
15.916.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End4.5
red by 8.0
4994
#23
11.60.4
10.09.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End2.6
Third
5774
#31
8.21.0
7.18.1
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End2.2
red by 0.6
6610
#39
7.60.4
6.76.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed