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Red41
526014.7
556214.9
523416.5
Blue55
150619.7
24521.4
654810.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40531020306070804155

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5234
#26
16.50.0
13.813.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End3.3
blue by 4.9
245
#12
21.40.6
18.818.2
Auto5.9
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Second
5562
#24
14.90.0
11.511.5
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End3.5
blue by 4.8
19.70.6
19.719.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End6.2
Third
5260
#21
14.70.0
12.612.6
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End3.1
red by 4.4
6548
#14
10.30.6
11.911.3
Auto3.9
Teleop2.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsMissed