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Red39
55339.3
523416.5
601911.2
Blue47
55276.2
353519.1
556214.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333802060801003947

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5234
#26
16.50.8
14.915.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End3.3
blue by 2.6
19.11.1
15.816.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End5.6
Second
6019
#36
11.20.8
8.18.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End2.6
blue by 3.7
5562
#24
14.91.1
12.513.6
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End3.5
Third
5533
#32
9.30.8
8.29.0
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End2.1
red by 3.1
5527
#35
6.21.2
7.58.7
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed