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Red36
60919.1
526014.7
515014.2
Blue50
561218.1
57748.2
511421.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3644102030405060703650

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5260
#21
14.70.2
11.711.9
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End3.1
blue by 6.7
5114
#20
21.40.8
17.918.7
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End3.1
Second
5150
#25
14.20.2
14.114.3
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End3.1
blue by 3.9
5612
#15
18.10.8
15.516.4
Auto4.1
Teleop10.8
End3.1
Third
6091
#29
9.10.2
8.58.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End1.2
red by 0.9
5774
#31
8.20.8
7.98.8
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed