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Red42
260412.7
283420.7
498311.2
Blue41
686119.0
3227.2
365621.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4557020801001204241

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#18
20.70.4
18.017.5
Auto5.1
Teleop13.0
End2.5
blue by 1.3
3656
#15
21.90.9
26.625.7
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End7.3
Second
2604
#37
12.70.4
13.212.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 6.3
6861
#43
19.00.9
20.719.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End3.3
Third
4983
#34
11.20.4
11.511.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.9
red by 3.9
322
#7
7.20.9
6.75.9
Auto3.2
Teleop0.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed64%HAB Docking oddsEarned