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Red50
233726.4
353621.4
496120.1
Blue63
436234.9
10725.6
543622.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74902040601001201405063

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#44
26.41.4
25.223.9
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End7.5
blue by 8.5
34.91.5
34.132.6
Auto4.8
Teleop25.3
End4.8
Second
3536
#27
21.41.4
23.121.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End5.5
blue by 4.2
107
#19
25.61.5
26.525.0
Auto3.7
Teleop15.8
End6.1
Third
20.11.4
22.020.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End5.1
blue by 1.9
5436
#38
22.11.5
24.823.3
Auto3.4
Teleop14.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed53%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
79%HAB Docking oddsEarned89%HAB Docking oddsMissed