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Red45
686119.0
481016.4
477922.8
Blue55
3327.4
49424.0
31414.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64732040801001204555

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#33
22.81.0
23.022.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End6.3
blue by 4.6
33
#13
27.40.9
28.127.2
Auto5.8
Teleop15.5
End6.1
Second
6861
#43
19.01.0
19.818.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End3.3
blue by 4.9
494
#22
24.00.9
24.323.4
Auto5.2
Teleop15.4
End3.3
Third
4810
#32
16.41.0
17.516.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End4.2
red by 1.8
314
#30
14.60.9
16.615.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed37%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsMissed61%HAB Docking oddsMissed