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Red88
168429.7
3227.2
366732.7
Blue68
283222.1
332216.9
590718.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706102040801001201408868

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.71.4
31.032.5
Auto4.3
Teleop19.6
End8.9
red by 10.6
2832
#42
22.10.0
20.420.4
Auto4.9
Teleop15.5
End1.7
Second
1684
#10
29.71.4
29.631.0
Auto4.2
Teleop19.8
End5.6
red by 11.2
5907
#35
18.50.0
17.717.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End4.5
Third
322
#7
7.21.4
5.97.3
Auto3.2
Teleop0.5
End3.5
blue by 9.7
3322
#36
16.90.0
20.020.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
87%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed