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Red45
20115.4
260412.7
283222.1
Blue58
477922.8
213719.7
543622.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions547002040801001201404558

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#42
22.10.4
22.622.1
Auto4.9
Teleop15.5
End1.7
blue by 0.6
4779
#33
22.80.5
23.322.8
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End6.3
Second
201
#45
15.40.4
15.815.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End1.5
blue by 6.7
5436
#38
22.10.5
22.622.1
Auto3.4
Teleop14.3
End4.3
Third
2604
#37
12.70.4
13.212.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 7.0
2137
#26
19.70.5
20.319.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed79%HAB Docking oddsEarned