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Red37
471513.6
663717.1
715416.6
Blue15
763814.1
71567.6
611311.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39341020305060703715

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.11.1
14.213.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End4.3
red by 3.0
7638
#20
14.11.9
8.56.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End3.0
Second
16.61.1
11.09.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End2.8
red by 4.7
6113
#31
11.91.9
12.310.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.6
End1.8
Third
4715
#26
13.61.1
11.810.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End4.7
red by 5.9
7156
#25
7.61.9
11.09.1
Auto1.8
Teleop2.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed