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Red45
771313.9
439123.6
497015.3
Blue15
782712.0
570210.3
159614.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433402060804515

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.5
17.117.6
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End5.3
red by 9.4
1596
#29
14.21.9
12.410.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Second
4970
#18
15.30.5
14.014.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.4
End1.9
red by 3.3
7827
#16
12.01.9
10.18.2
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End2.7
Third
13.90.5
9.49.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End2.6
red by 3.6
5702
#21
10.31.9
9.77.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed