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Red29
497015.3
159614.2
663717.1
Blue36
776810.3
634512.0
656921.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443820304050602936

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.11.4
14.613.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End4.3
blue by 4.0
21.10.0
19.919.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End5.3
Second
4970
#18
15.31.4
14.413.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.4
End1.9
red by 3.3
6345
#12
12.00.0
7.97.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End1.7
Third
1596
#29
14.21.4
12.411.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.7
red by 3.9
7768
#37
10.30.0
7.97.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed