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Red39
778220.1
361712.4
702013.5
Blue40
48358.3
715416.6
763814.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3832010205060703940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.4
14.715.1
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End8.1
red by 3.5
16.61.1
11.512.6
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End2.8
Second
7020
#38
13.50.4
11.011.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End3.2
blue by 0.5
7638
#20
14.11.1
9.810.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End3.0
Third
3617
#30
12.40.4
10.110.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End2.0
red by 4.1
4835
#36
8.31.1
8.79.8
Auto4.2
Teleop2.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed