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Red29
608819.3
71567.6
85714.7
Blue54
570613.8
771313.9
24524.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394701020306070802954

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.8
16.515.7
Auto6.1
Teleop5.8
End7.5
blue by 5.2
245
#11
24.60.6
21.822.4
Auto5.5
Teleop15.9
End3.1
Second
857
#23
14.70.8
11.810.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End4.4
red by 0.8
13.91.1
11.112.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End2.6
Third
7156
#25
7.60.8
8.37.4
Auto1.8
Teleop2.1
End3.7
blue by 6.2
5706
#15
13.81.1
11.512.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed