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Red49
611311.9
656921.1
607917.5
Blue50
782712.0
655816.5
608819.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4939203060704950

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.3
19.920.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End5.3
red by 1.8
19.31.3
15.717.0
Auto6.1
Teleop5.8
End7.5
Second
6079
#22
17.50.3
14.214.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End2.9
red by 1.1
6558
#13
16.51.3
13.615.0
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End4.3
Third
6113
#31
11.90.3
12.112.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.6
End1.8
blue by 0.1
7827
#16
12.01.3
7.89.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsEarned