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Red41
715416.6
570613.8
570210.3
Blue49
776810.3
598914.4
387524.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374102060804149

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.60.6
12.613.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End2.8
blue by 7.5
24.10.7
19.920.6
Auto6.4
Teleop12.2
End5.4
Second
5706
#15
13.80.6
12.613.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End3.2
blue by 0.6
5989
#10
14.41.0
11.112.1
Auto5.4
Teleop5.3
End3.8
Third
5702
#21
10.30.6
9.810.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.6
red by 0.1
7768
#37
10.31.0
7.99.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed