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Red25
570210.3
471513.6
48358.3
Blue59
360220.7
439123.6
634512.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3252102040607080902559

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4715
#26
13.60.5
13.713.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End4.7
blue by 10.0
23.60.9
21.822.7
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End5.3
Second
5702
#21
10.30.5
9.79.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.6
blue by 10.4
20.70.9
17.718.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.6
End5.3
Third
4835
#36
8.30.5
7.36.7
Auto4.2
Teleop2.0
End2.1
blue by 3.7
6345
#12
12.00.9
9.510.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsEarned