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Red30
65579.7
78166.7
771313.9
Blue30
608819.3
548610.3
763814.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942010205060703030

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End2.6
blue by 5.4
19.3
Auto6.1
Teleop5.8
End7.5
Second
6557
#33
9.7
Auto5.0
Teleop2.5
End2.2
blue by 4.3
7638
#20
14.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End3.0
Third
7816
#28
6.7
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.4
End3.6
blue by 3.6
5486
#24
10.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed