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Red54
78166.7
663717.1
608819.3
Blue38
655816.5
702013.5
71567.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383830354045505438

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.31.6
17.318.9
Auto6.1
Teleop5.8
End7.5
red by 2.9
6558
#13
16.50.2
17.017.2
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End4.3
Second
17.11.4
14.315.8
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End4.3
red by 3.6
7020
#38
13.50.2
12.612.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End3.2
Third
7816
#28
6.71.6
4.66.2
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.4
End3.6
blue by 0.9
7156
#25
7.60.2
6.56.7
Auto1.8
Teleop2.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed