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Red60
60759.3
598914.4
24524.6
Blue43
471513.6
497015.3
361712.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484001020306070806043

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#11
24.60.5
23.624.1
Auto5.5
Teleop15.9
End3.1
red by 9.2
4970
#18
15.30.4
14.214.6
Auto3.1
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Second
5989
#10
14.40.7
12.913.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.3
End3.8
red by 0.9
4715
#26
13.60.4
13.213.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End4.7
Third
6075
#32
9.30.7
9.410.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.2
End1.6
blue by 3.1
3617
#30
12.40.4
10.811.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsMissed