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Red41
763814.1
570613.8
634512.0
Blue32
60759.3
65819.0
655816.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41390102030506070804132

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7638
#20
14.10.2
13.914.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End3.0
blue by 2.4
6558
#13
16.50.8
17.216.3
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End4.3
Second
5706
#15
13.80.2
13.213.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End3.2
red by 4.5
6075
#32
9.30.8
10.19.3
Auto4.4
Teleop3.2
End1.6
Third
6345
#12
12.00.2
11.711.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End1.7
red by 3.0
6581
#39
9.00.8
9.89.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed