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Red45
437517.7
78266.0
497015.3
Blue47
715416.6
771313.9
611311.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38421020305060704547

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4375
#34
17.70.7
16.116.8
Auto4.0
Teleop10.9
End2.8
red by 1.1
16.60.5
15.215.7
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End2.8
Second
4970
#18
15.30.7
14.615.2
Auto3.1
Teleop10.4
End1.9
red by 1.5
13.90.6
13.313.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End2.6
Third
7826
#27
6.00.7
5.46.0
Auto2.2
Teleop2.2
End1.7
blue by 5.9
6113
#31
11.90.5
11.411.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed4%HAB Docking oddsMissed