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Red21
525616.2
432710.7
72039.1
Blue39
781110.7
555911.6
440810.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34350102030405060702139

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5256
#29
16.21.2
13.412.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End3.1
red by 4.5
5559
#33
11.60.0
13.413.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End2.1
Second
4327
#30
10.71.2
8.47.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.4
End2.3
blue by 0.1
4408
#17
10.80.0
11.711.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.2
End4.3
Third
7203
#34
9.11.2
10.29.0
Auto1.0
Teleop5.2
End2.9
blue by 1.6
7811
#28
10.70.0
8.38.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsMissed