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Red44
550120.2
615010.1
592617.7
Blue43
522715.0
205428.0
721911.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4042203050604443

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.0
18.418.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.1
End8.4
blue by 7.8
28.00.4
22.122.5
Auto4.4
Teleop15.5
End8.2
Second
17.70.0
14.114.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.6
End7.1
red by 2.7
5227
#16
15.00.4
10.110.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End5.0
Third
6150
#25
10.10.0
5.55.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End1.5
blue by 1.2
7219
#24
11.30.4
7.27.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsEarned32%HAB Docking oddsEarned