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Red73
6728.1
505030.5
506618.5
Blue80
553026.8
585319.8
766025.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82715060901007380

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.1
30.630.5
Auto5.1
Teleop16.7
End8.8
red by 3.7
5530
#21
26.80.3
25.225.4
Auto4.5
Teleop15.2
End7.1
Second
67
#3
28.10.1
28.128.1
Auto3.5
Teleop15.0
End9.6
red by 2.5
7660
#22
25.60.3
24.024.3
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End2.8
Third
5066
#25
18.50.1
18.518.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End5.0
blue by 1.3
5853
#13
19.80.3
18.118.4
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End5.1