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Red49
661822.7
71457.0
506723.4
Blue73
714712.2
652827.8
83018.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56583040507080904973

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5067
#20
23.40.5
23.122.6
Auto5.6
Teleop14.2
End3.6
blue by 4.5
27.81.2
26.327.5
Auto5.1
Teleop19.4
End3.4
Second
6618
#16
22.70.5
22.522.0
Auto3.7
Teleop16.4
End2.7
red by 4.1
830
#23
18.61.2
17.418.6
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End2.5
Third
7145
#41
7.00.5
7.57.0
Auto4.6
Teleop1.2
End1.3
blue by 5.1
7147
#40
12.21.4
10.812.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed