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Red57
569514.5
505030.5
354228.2
Blue46
553026.8
585319.8
766025.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746650607080905746

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.9
29.828.9
Auto5.1
Teleop16.7
End8.8
red by 3.7
5530
#21
26.81.1
24.923.9
Auto4.5
Teleop15.2
End7.1
Second
28.20.9
25.925.0
Auto3.5
Teleop18.3
End6.4
red by 2.5
7660
#22
25.61.1
20.219.2
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End2.8
Third
5695
#39
14.51.5
14.412.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End2.0
blue by 5.3
5853
#13
19.81.1
16.915.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
76%HAB Docking oddsEarned31%HAB Docking oddsMissed