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Red71
506723.4
691416.8
657022.2
Blue73
615017.0
423721.0
661822.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525530406070807173

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5067
#20
23.41.4
18.319.7
Auto5.6
Teleop14.2
End3.6
red by 0.6
6618
#16
22.71.4
21.623.0
Auto3.7
Teleop16.4
End2.7
Second
6570
#32
22.21.4
19.821.3
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End5.3
red by 1.2
4237
#11
21.01.4
18.920.3
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End3.5
Third
6914
#29
16.81.4
11.312.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.9
End3.4
blue by 0.1
6150
#34
17.01.4
11.512.9
Auto4.5
Teleop10.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed