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Red81
6625.5
57322.9
653823.4
Blue65
569514.5
657022.2
506618.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695730405080901008165

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#15
25.51.1
21.022.1
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End3.4
red by 3.4
6570
#32
22.20.7
19.720.4
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End5.3
Second
6538
#10
23.41.1
21.122.2
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End6.6
red by 4.9
5066
#25
18.50.7
17.318.0
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End5.0
Third
573
#24
22.91.1
23.024.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.9
End6.9
red by 8.4
5695
#39
14.51.1
17.318.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed