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Red57
505319.6
24019.2
365628.9
Blue65
354725.5
79129.2
31422.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70543040506080905765

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.8
30.729.9
Auto5.7
Teleop14.8
End8.4
red by 3.4
25.50.9
21.822.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End9.2
Second
5053
#14
19.60.8
17.216.4
Auto5.1
Teleop11.6
End2.9
blue by 2.6
314
#12
22.20.9
21.222.1
Auto5.5
Teleop14.3
End2.4
Third
240
#19
19.20.8
18.517.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End5.2
red by 10.0
7912
#28
9.20.9
8.19.0
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsEarned