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Red51
83018.6
766025.6
691416.8
Blue73
354228.2
608119.9
439518.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56592040801005173

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7660
#22
25.60.1
20.720.6
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End2.8
blue by 2.5
28.21.1
23.024.1
Auto3.5
Teleop18.3
End6.4
Second
830
#23
18.60.1
16.816.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End2.5
blue by 1.3
6081
#17
19.91.1
18.619.7
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End5.6
Third
6914
#29
16.80.1
15.715.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.9
End3.4
blue by 1.3
4395
#18
18.11.1
14.615.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsEarned