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Red39
361916.0
577414.3
591512.6
Blue41
506511.5
714712.7
608912.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35320204060801003941

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3619
#11
16.00.4
13.814.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End2.8
red by 3.3
7147
#37
12.70.1
11.111.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Second
5774
#17
14.30.4
8.69.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End3.4
red by 2.0
6089
#33
12.30.1
10.910.8
Auto5.4
Teleop4.4
End2.5
Third
5915
#24
12.60.4
10.510.9
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End2.6
red by 1.1
5065
#26
11.50.1
8.07.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsEarned8%HAB Docking oddsMissed