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Red58
317515.7
778417.8
564124.7
Blue52
566210.1
557717.3
150627.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484730354045505560655852

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.9
16.617.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End10.6
blue by 2.8
27.50.1
19.719.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.0
End9.3
Second
7784
#12
17.80.9
10.811.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End5.2
red by 0.5
5577
#28
17.30.1
16.916.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Third
15.70.9
17.318.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End2.8
red by 5.5
5662
#35
10.10.1
8.68.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsEarned37%HAB Docking oddsEarned