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Red41
566210.1
566017.9
686122.0
Blue48
722017.0
591512.6
438012.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48381020306070804148

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6861
#15
22.00.3
20.320.1
Auto3.6
Teleop15.0
End3.4
red by 5.0
7220
#13
17.00.8
16.517.2
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End3.6
Second
17.90.3
16.215.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End3.5
red by 5.3
5915
#24
12.60.8
10.911.7
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End2.6
Third
5662
#35
10.10.3
8.78.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End1.5
blue by 2.5
12.60.8
8.89.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed