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Red31
569515.1
609610.7
714712.7
Blue69
605715.8
515611.2
283221.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363902060803169

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5695
#39
15.10.2
14.213.9
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End3.3
blue by 6.6
21.71.5
13.615.2
Auto5.3
Teleop13.1
End3.3
Second
7147
#37
12.70.2
11.010.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End2.0
blue by 3.2
6057
#10
15.81.5
14.015.6
Auto5.2
Teleop6.5
End4.1
Third
6096
#29
10.70.2
9.29.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End1.9
blue by 0.5
5156
#25
11.21.5
9.410.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed