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Red43
107622.4
590721.3
553117.9
Blue52
570810.8
361916.0
54822.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5546203040506070804352

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1076
#19
22.40.8
19.518.7
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End3.1
blue by 0.2
548
#21
22.60.3
22.923.2
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End3.2
Second
5907
#18
21.30.8
17.917.1
Auto3.9
Teleop13.3
End4.1
red by 5.3
3619
#11
16.00.3
14.214.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End2.8
Third
5531
#20
17.90.8
14.713.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.8
End4.0
red by 7.1
5708
#23
10.80.4
6.77.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed