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Red38
522513.6
564124.7
506511.5
Blue56
619011.9
780715.9
125025.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40501020306070803856

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.0
17.517.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End10.6
blue by 1.2
25.90.3
21.121.4
Auto5.9
Teleop14.9
End5.1
Second
5225
#34
13.60.0
12.712.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.7
blue by 2.2
7807
#36
15.90.3
17.017.3
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End4.7
Third
5065
#26
11.50.0
7.97.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End1.4
blue by 0.4
6190
#30
11.90.3
9.810.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed