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Red63
125025.9
566017.9
605715.8
Blue36
557717.3
569515.1
521711.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5744203040507080906336

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.6
22.122.7
Auto5.9
Teleop14.9
End5.1
red by 8.6
5577
#28
17.30.4
17.917.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Second
17.90.6
14.815.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End3.5
red by 2.8
5695
#39
15.10.4
15.014.6
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End3.3
Third
6057
#10
15.80.6
17.017.6
Auto5.2
Teleop6.5
End4.1
red by 4.6
5217
#32
11.20.4
9.18.7
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed