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Red40
61167.2
722017.0
759817.2
Blue49
475814.2
361916.0
107622.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435202060804049

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7598
#27
17.20.0
15.915.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End4.5
blue by 5.2
1076
#19
22.40.0
19.019.0
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End3.1
Second
7220
#13
17.00.0
17.317.2
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End3.6
red by 1.0
3619
#11
16.00.0
16.216.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End2.8
Third
6116
#31
7.20.0
7.17.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.0
End2.3
blue by 7.0
4758
#38
14.20.0
13.713.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed