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Red16
769214.4
714712.7
785611.3
Blue59
590721.3
522513.6
475814.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343901020305060701659

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7692
#14
14.41.1
9.58.5
Auto4.5
Teleop4.6
End5.2
blue by 6.9
5907
#18
21.31.4
16.417.8
Auto3.9
Teleop13.3
End4.1
Second
7147
#37
12.71.1
12.211.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End2.0
blue by 1.5
4758
#38
14.21.4
10.311.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Third
7856
#40
11.31.1
10.39.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End2.2
blue by 2.3
5225
#34
13.61.4
10.612.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed