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Red33
608912.3
591512.6
125025.9
Blue64
755329.6
54822.6
438012.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4755203040607080903364

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.8
21.921.1
Auto5.9
Teleop14.9
End5.1
blue by 3.7
29.60.8
21.222.1
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End8.7
Second
5915
#24
12.60.8
11.310.5
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End2.6
blue by 10.0
548
#21
22.60.8
22.723.5
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End3.2
Third
6089
#33
12.30.8
11.710.9
Auto5.4
Teleop4.4
End2.5
blue by 0.3
12.60.8
8.08.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsEarned